Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 94.3%
Prognostiker
20
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert4. Okt. 22, 22:49 UTC31. Dez. 26, 16:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill any of NASA's Canoo Crew Transportation Vehicles (CTVs) fail during operation or no longer be utilised by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve if any of the following are true:
- - If this market reaches its close date
- - If `8G8D07CxdVzqkPLBcY3L` closes (Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2026?).
- It will resolve based on the following decision tree:
- - If the human operator agrees:
- --- Resolves to round(MKT).
Offene Märkte
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.5pt89.9%
- OpenAI-1.6pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 131.460,9 €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No60.4%
- Yes39.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 103.607,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 27.913,7 €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-1.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+2.0pt18.6%
- Google-1.4pt5.9%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-8.0pt82%
- Above 9-49.0pt22%
- Above 10-20.0pt14%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,47%
- June 30,41%
- February 28,27%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 996.112,6 €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.3pt59.6%
- SpaceX+0.5pt38.4%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Two SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
- What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in September 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 94% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027? entschieden?
- Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve if any of the following are true: