Will the global far-right alliances abolish and defunct all prediction markets before 2040?
18.7 Pkt. (24h)KryptoOne-OffPolitikRegulierungGeopolitik13JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNo, global far-right alliances will not achieve sufficient unified power to ban prediction markets. 68.7%+18.7ptFührend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
2
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+18.7 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet1. Nov. 26, 08:19 UTC31. Dez. 39, 11:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will global far-right alliances abolish and defunct generative AI and all AI technology before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill anti-AI movement cause all AI technology infrastructures and chatbots to abolish and defunct before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill global far-right global regime cause prediction markets as concept to defunct and cease to exist before 2400?
Manifold MarketsWill global far-right global regime cause prediction markets as concept to defunct and cease to exist before 2100?
Manifold MarketsSports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
PolymarketLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This is an independent multiple-choice market where each added answer resolves independently:
- Each answer corresponding to an action, entity, or condition will resolve YES if, prior to January 1, 2040, that condition is met according to credible international reporting, official government/treaty publications, or observable market operations.
- Otherwise, it resolves NO.
- If an option specifies that all prediction markets are abolished and rendered defunct globally:
- It resolves YES only if major public prediction market platforms (including centralized and decentralized platforms such as Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, or their primary successors) are universally banned, blocked, or effectively shut down worldwide through coordinated international action, and no major legally operating or actively trading public prediction market survives.
