Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 56.5%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet8. Feb. 26, 04:59 UTC30. Dez. 26, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala announce a run in 2028
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms?
Manifold MarketsCarbon Brief Forecast: If Trump wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.5 billion tons in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the USA have a national Carbon Tax by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsBrazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026?
FutuurRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- The next Australian federal election is scheduled to occur between May and September 2028.
- This market resolves YES if the Liberal-National Coalition formally splits at a Federal level (i.e., the Nationals formally withdraw from the Coalition agreement) at any point before the next federal election.
- Conditions for Resolution:
- - The split must be announced by official party leadership (Liberal or National).
- - The split must be reported by major Australian news outlets (e.g., ABC, SMH, The Australian).
