Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 56.5%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Minuten
8. Feb. 26, 04:59 UTC30. Dez. 26, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?
Manifold Markets8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 election for California's 40th State Senate district
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.8 billion tons in 2025?
Manifold MarketsBrazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026?
FutuurRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- The next Australian federal election is scheduled to occur between May and September 2028.
- This market resolves YES if the Liberal-National Coalition formally splits at a Federal level (i.e., the Nationals formally withdraw from the Coalition agreement) at any point before the next federal election.
- Conditions for Resolution:
- - The split must be announced by official party leadership (Liberal or National).
- - The split must be reported by major Australian news outlets (e.g., ABC, SMH, The Australian).
