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Daten vom 25.10.2026, 20:40 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
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Will JD Vance be excommunicated by the Catholic Church during Trump's presidency?
Manifold MarketsWill the Catholic Church train a PopeGPT and endorse it as doctrinally sound by end of 2027?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will restrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church be loosened during 2026?
Manifold MarketsCatholic church recognizes AI souls by 2040?
Manifold MarketsRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
FutuurBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegeln
This resolves YES if within Dec. 31 2030 an official statement from the Holy See (such as an encyclical) is released that condemns the use of artificial intelligence.
- It may be broader in scope but it has to be clearly addressing AI development and/or use per se, not excesses or particular applications.
- Resolution will be based on the text as appearing on the official Vatican website.
- Statements from individual clergymen do not count.
- If by 2030 the Catholic Church or AI no longer exist, I will resolve N/A. In case of a schism, the faction that controls the physical premises of the Vatican in Rome will count as the Catholic Church even if they do not control the website: if that is the case I will attempt to locate official sources that track the opinion of the prevalent branch as defined above, disregarding the website.
