Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
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Nein 97.7%Prognostiker
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet10. Nov. 22, 04:26 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will SpinLaunch have a successful launch by EoY 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow many successful SpaceX launches in October 2026 UTC
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill two Starships dock together in orbit before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES upon any successful launch into a suborbital trajectory, conditional on it being capable to boost to orbit (regardless of if that succeeds).
- Resolves NO on close
