Manifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: 40+ (100%)
Entschieden: 10.07.2026, 00:20
Nicht verifizierte Auflösungsdaten
Dieses Ergebnis ist abgeleitet oder nicht durch anbietergestützte Auflösungsnachweise gedeckt.
Aktuelle Community-Prognose40+ 100%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Tagen
Veraltet25. Juni 26, 5:2910. Juli 26, 0:20
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
40+100%
60+0%
80+0%
100%
0%
0%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· 40+
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
3.5%5T
+18.1%100%
+3.5%13%
+2.9%8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
89 • Hohe QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen1,2 Mio. €
24h-Volumen30.818,3 €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?
2.1%Geschlossen
Aufgelöst
20-40 (100%)
+2.1%100%
0%
-0.3%0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
72 • Mittlere QualitätEnger SpreadNiedrige Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen631.831,7 €
24h-Volumen7413 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
This market will resolve identically to this one, on Polymarket:
- Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
- Polymarket rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$5.4k96.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205vorgestern
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205vorgestern$1.4k98.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBillyvor 7 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBillyvor 7 Tagen$2.6k51.8%POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profitvor 12 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profitvor 12 Tagen$8.6k85.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205vor 18 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205vor 18 Tagen$3.5k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday77vor 19 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday77vor 19 Tagen$2.7k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a495vor 19 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a495vor 19 Tagen$3.9k88.5%POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBillyvor 21 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBillyvor 21 Tagen$1.4k95.6%POLYMARKETNoJasonPunosvor 25 Tagen
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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
528.293,4 €Ja: 16%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
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This market will resolve identically to this one, on Polymarket:
- Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
- Polymarket rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.