Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 70.2%
Prognostiker
25
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet22. Okt. 25, 17:53 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Scott Wiener win the California 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExSan Francisco CD 11: Scott Wiener - Connie Chan margin, November 2026
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketAlaska Senate Election Winner
PolymarketMT-01 House winner?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Scott Wiener is declared the official winner of the general election for California's 11th congressional district in the 2026 U.S. House elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- Resolution will be based on the certified results published by the California Secretary of State.
- Scott Wiener is currently a Democratic member of the California State Senate, representing the 11th district, which includes San Francisco and parts of San Mateo County.
- He was first elected to the State Senate in 2016 and re-elected in 2020 and 2024.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt60.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt38.6%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 133,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 947.319,9 €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate29.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.4pt9.8%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 194,6 Mio. €
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 523.833,6 €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.2pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.4pt9.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 30,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 493.492,9 €
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Next French Presidential Election
- Ohio Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Kansas Senate winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 70.2% (Stand: 22. September 2026).
- Wann wird Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election? entschieden?
- Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria