Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose(5%, 10%], Scott win 27.7%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker
22
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+16.6 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet15. Sept. 26, 19:02 UTC30. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election?
Manifold MarketsWill Scott Wiener win the California 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExMLB: Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants (Sep 21, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)Arizona vs San Francisco
KalshiHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 23?
PolymarketMinnesota vs San Francisco
KalshiRegeln
Based on official SF gov results.
- Raw substraction of the percentage each of them receive.
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change+1.0pt49%
- 25 bps increase49%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 8,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 939.335,4 €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt59.4%
- D-House, R-Senate29.7%
- Republicans sweep+0.1pt9.9%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-8.0pt55%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt45%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 29 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 547.017,2 €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.6pt91%
- Republican Party+0.3pt9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 30,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 473.340,2 €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 59,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 470.609,1 €
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?
- What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für San Francisco CD 11: Scott Wiener - Connie Chan margin, November 2026?
- Manifold Markets bewertet (5%, 10%], Scott win mit 27.7% (Stand: 22. September 2026).
- Wann wird San Francisco CD 11: Scott Wiener - Connie Chan margin, November 2026 entschieden?
- San Francisco CD 11: Scott Wiener - Connie Chan margin, November 2026 soll am 30. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird San Francisco CD 11: Scott Wiener - Connie Chan margin, November 2026 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Based on official SF gov results.