Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030?
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Veraltet21. Nov. 22, 15:35 UTC1. Jan. 30, 05:00 UTC
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This doesn't count a scandal like the NYT article, since most people within Scott's communities were in favor of Scott.
- It must be something where a significant number of Scott's friends, readers, and/or professional aquaintances are angry at him or want to stop associating with him.
- It must also be public enough that I hear about it through public channels.
- This is part of a group of markets on Scott Alexander with slightly different resolution criteria, made with the intention of figuring out which structure is best.
- For an overview and discussion, see here.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 90% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030? entschieden?
- Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This doesn't count a scandal like the NYT article, since most people within Scott's communities were in favor of Scott.