Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseBefore 2028 9.2%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet26. März 24, 17:48 UTC2. Feb. 28, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the USA abolish federal capital punishment (death penalty) by January 1st 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill 25 or more states have no death penalty at the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of 2027, will Russia lift its death penalty moratorium and resume executions?
Manifold MarketsWill rapper d4vd receive the death penalty?
Manifold MarketsPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
PolymarketZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
After the Crocus City Hall terrorist attack in Moscow multiple Russian politicians have advocated for the return of death penalty.
- The market will resolve positively if (and when) Russia officially lifts the moratorium on the death penalty, introduced in 1996.
- It could happen via a bill passed in parliament, a decision of the Constitutional Court, or via an executive order from the president.
- The market resolves as soon as the respective document is signed and/or published, possibly before it comes into force.
- In case of an (unlikely) disagreement between the branches of the government, what counts if the executive branch is going to follow it.
- I do not bet on my own questions.
