Will Russia conduct a new wave of public military mobilization before the end of 2026?
PolitikOne-OffGeopolitikRussia / Ukraine3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 70.4%
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet28. Juli 26, 06:17 UTC31. Dez. 26, 19:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new wave of public military mobilization is conducted in Russia before the end of 2026, and to "No" otherwise.
- The previous wave of partial mobilization was announced by President Vladimir Putin on September 21, 2022, and resulted in approximately 300,000 reservists being called up.
- That mobilization was officially declared complete by Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu on October 28, 2022, with no further measures planned at that time.
- For the purposes of this market, a "new wave of public military mobilization" means an official, publicly announced mobilization decree by the Russian government ordering the compulsory call-up of military reservists or conscripts beyond routine annual conscription cycles.
- Rumors, covert preparations, legislative changes, or unofficial statements about potential mobilization do not count as resolution events.
- Resolution sources: This market will be resolved based on official reports from BBC (bbc.com) or CNN (cnn.com) confirming that a new wave of public mobilization has been formally announced and is being carried out in Russia.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Russia conduct a new wave of public military mobilization before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 70% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Russia conduct a new wave of public military mobilization before the end of 2026? entschieden?
- Will Russia conduct a new wave of public military mobilization before the end of 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Russia conduct a new wave of public military mobilization before the end of 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new wave of public military mobilization is conducted in Russia before the end of 2026, and to "No" otherwise.