Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 87.6%
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet16. Juni 26, 12:26 UTC1. Jan. 42, 11:00 UTC
Trends
Regeln
This question answers YES if Robin Hanson reiceves the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences, regardless if that is due to his work on Prediction Markets / Idea Futures or Futarchy or any other set or subset of his work.
- This question resolves NO if Robin Hanson dies (and remains dead) before he is awarded that prize.
Offene Märkte
Macro & Economy
KALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million+1.0pt98%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 125.675,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 47.449,2 €
KALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-18.0pt30%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIPennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.260099%
- Above 4.265099%
- Above 4.270099%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 17.409,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 17.409,9 €
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No93%
- Yes-2.0pt7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 15.972,5 €
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Above 1,700 units-4.0pt82%
- Above 1,600 units-11.0pt80%
- Above 1,800 units-5.0pt68%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Robin Hanson receive the Nobel Prize in Economics??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 88% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Robin Hanson receive the Nobel Prize in Economics? entschieden?
- Will Robin Hanson receive the Nobel Prize in Economics? soll am 1. Januar 2042 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Robin Hanson receive the Nobel Prize in Economics? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This question answers YES if Robin Hanson reiceves the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences, regardless if that is due to his work on Prediction Markets / Idea Futures or Futarchy or any other set or subset of his work.