Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 61.9%
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9
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet8. Feb. 26, 22:03 UTC14. Aug. 29, 22:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the UK introduce proportional representation for general elections before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK have Proportional Representation of the House of Commons by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Reform UK's next published manifesto (after their 2024 manifesto "Our Contract with You") does not include a commitment to proportional representation or a referendum on PR.
- It resolves NO if the manifesto maintains or reaffirms such a commitment.
- Resolution will be determined by examining the official manifesto document published by Reform UK ahead of their next general election campaign.
- The manifesto should be checked against Reform UK's 2024 manifesto, which called for a referendum on PR.
- Reform UK supports electoral reform, favouring a switch to a proportional voting system; in their 2024 manifesto, they called for a referendum on PR.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+3.0pt76%
- New People (NL)-1.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)2%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 27,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 922.552,2 €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.6%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 191,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+3.0pt89%
- Republican Party-3.0pt11%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 27,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 627.097,4 €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt16%
- Jon Ossoff+0.3pt16%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027+1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt5%
- July0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+4.0pt56.4%
- D-House, R-Senate31.7%
- Republicans sweep-3.0pt10.9%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Reform drop their commitment to Proportional Representation in their next manifesto??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 62% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Reform drop their commitment to Proportional Representation in their next manifesto? entschieden?
- Will Reform drop their commitment to Proportional Representation in their next manifesto? soll am 14. August 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Reform drop their commitment to Proportional Representation in their next manifesto? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria