Warnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 20:15 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 61%
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet2. Dez. 25, 14:05 UTC31. Dez. 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Second most seats following next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a hung parliament following the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWhich two parties will get the most seats in Parliament following the next UK general election after 2025?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Reform UK is in government following the next UK general election, either as the main governing party or as part of a formal supply and confidence agreement with another party.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the UK government and Parliament regarding the composition of government.
- The next UK general election is scheduled to be held no later than Wednesday 15 August 2029, though it may be called earlier at the Prime Minister's discretion.
