Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 61%
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet2. Dez. 25, 14:05 UTC31. Dez. 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Second most seats following next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWhich two parties will get the most seats in Parliament following the next UK general election after 2025?
Manifold MarketsWho will be in the Israeli government following the next elections?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiWho will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Reform UK is in government following the next UK general election, either as the main governing party or as part of a formal supply and confidence agreement with another party.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the UK government and Parliament regarding the composition of government.
- The next UK general election is scheduled to be held no later than Wednesday 15 August 2029, though it may be called earlier at the Prime Minister's discretion.
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 691.801,4 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,1 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,6 Mio. €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 61% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election entschieden?
- Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election soll am 31. Dezember 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria