Will Poland implement a new electoral system for the Sejm before 2030?
PolitikOne-OffWahlRegulierung3J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 75%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet27. Jan. 23, 13:08 UTC31. Dez. 29, 22:59 UTC
Trends
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This prediction market resolves positively if the Polish government passes a new electoral law for the Sejm that changes the current system in a significant and meaningful way, as determined by experts and political analysts, and the law is signed and implemented before January 1st, 2030.
- This includes, but is not limited to, introducing a new voting method or changing the way seats are allocated.
- Changes that do not alter the fundamental nature of the current system, such as increasing the number of polling stations in rural areas, do not count towards resolution.
- If no such law is passed and implemented, the prediction market will resolve negatively.
