Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 88.1%
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16
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet4. Feb. 23, 00:20 UTC1. Jan. 28, 07:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Pope Leo XIV cite in his text Nick Bostrom before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Bill Gurley create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of Romania?
Polymarket46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner
PolymarketFIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner
KalshiRegeln
Nick Bostrom, director of the Future of Humanity Institute.
- This is one of a series of markets regarding whether select individuals or organizations will become Manifold users and create at least one market by the end of 2027 (~5 years).
- The time period is intentionally long, as these markets measure both (i) the propensity of the given person/organization to join Manifold, and (ii) Manifold's anticipated adoption by the public over time.
- To resolve positively, I must be reasonably confident that the Manifold account really is the entity they purport to be.
Offene Märkte
SportsKALSHIPHI Eagles vs TEN Titans
- Philadelphia+2.0pt77.2%
- Tennessee-1.0pt22.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 5,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4,4 Mio. €
POLYMARKETLoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
- Game 1 Winner100%
- Game 2 Winner100%
- Game 3 Winner100%
+58 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3,1 Mio. €
KALSHIMIN Vikings vs CHI Bears
- Chicago-4.0pt62.4%
- Minnesota+4.0pt37.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,7 Mio. €
KALSHIBiltmore Championship Asheville Winner
- Jacob Bridgeman+27.4pt32%
- Neal Shipley-18.0pt27%
- Ricky Castillo+12.0pt22%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIGB Packers vs NY Jets
- Green Bay61.4%
- New York J38.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,4 Mio. €
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Buffalo11%
- Los Angeles R9.3%
- Baltimore6.8%
+29 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 104,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
- PIT Steelers vs NE Patriots
- Philadelphia vs Tennessee: Spread
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
- CIN Bengals vs HOU Texans
- Herrero Linana vs Burel
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
- CAR Panthers vs ATL Falcons
- Green Bay vs New York J: Spread
- Jaguars vs. Broncos
- College Football National Championship Winner
- Philadelphia vs Tennessee: Touchdowns
- Carolina vs Atlanta: Spread
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Nick Bostrom create a market on Manifold by end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 88% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Nick Bostrom create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? entschieden?
- Will Nick Bostrom create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Nick Bostrom create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Nick Bostrom, director of the Future of Humanity Institute.