Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 88.4%
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
13. Juni 26, 04:11 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Bibi Netanyahu lose power during or in the aftermath after the 2023 Hamas-Israel War
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KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if both of the following conditions are met on or before December 31, 2027:
- Losing the Premiership: Following the next Israeli legislative election (scheduled by October 27, 2026, or held earlier as a snap election), Benjamin Netanyahu is not the Prime Minister of Israel in the government successfully sworn in immediately after that election.
- Relocating to Miami: Within six months of the newly formed government being sworn in (and no later than December 31, 2027), Benjamin Netanyahu leaves Israel and takes up residence in the Miami metropolitan area (or South Florida) for a continuous period of at least 30 days.
- This must be confirmed by reputable national or international news organizations (e.g., The Times of Israel, Reuters, Associated Press, or The New York Times).
- This market will resolve to NO if:
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Netanyahu lose the election and run away to Miami??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 88% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Netanyahu lose the election and run away to Miami? entschieden?
- Will Netanyahu lose the election and run away to Miami? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Netanyahu lose the election and run away to Miami? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria