Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 67.7%
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet14. Apr. 26, 18:05 UTC31. Dez. 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Nectome preserve at least one human by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Until Labs preserve Ben Sasse?
Manifold MarketsWill Nectome have at least ten preserved humans by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Nectome is a human brain preservation company based in Oregon.
- They recently announced that they are beginning pre-sales and will soon be accepting patients.
- https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/E9xfgJHvs6M55kABD/less-dead
- This market resolves YES iff they credibly claim to have preserved at least one hundred human brain as part of their commercial offerings by Dec 30, 2030.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/MaxHarms/will-nectome-preserve-at-least-one)(https://manifold.markets/embed/MaxHarms/will-nectome-have-at-least-ten-pres)(https://manifold.markets/embed/MaxHarms/will-nectome-perform-1000-brain-pre-NLEAPP8EzA)
Offene Märkte
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 18.288,2 €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5178,9 €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 916.002,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1515,1 €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 863.640,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1039 €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Nectome preserve at least 100 humans by the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 68% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Nectome preserve at least 100 humans by the end of 2030? entschieden?
- Will Nectome preserve at least 100 humans by the end of 2030? soll am 31. Dezember 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Nectome preserve at least 100 humans by the end of 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Nectome is a human brain preservation company based in Oregon.