Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 59.6%
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
3. Nov. 26, 01:07 UTC4. Nov. 26, 00:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Nate Silver be right about the Senate?
Manifold MarketsWhich Democratic senate candidates will lead in the Nate Silver polling average on election day?
Manifold MarketsWill Keith Rabois win his (not actual) bet against Nate Silver?
Manifold MarketsWhat price will (Nate) Silver hit in 2026? (read desc.!)
Manifold MarketsHow many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves Yes if Nate's prediction the day before the election of 241 seats is right plus/minus 10. 231-251 seats.
- Will resolve based on news projections.
