Which Democratic senate candidates will lead in the Nate Silver polling average on election day?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahl10T
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNorth Carolina - Roy Cooper 99%Führend unter 12 Optionen
Prognostiker
22
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
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Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet6. Sept. 26, 20:16 UTC3. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Which Senate candidates will Barack Obama rally for in the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill any US Senate candidate lead the polling average by 5% or more and lose?
Manifold MarketsWill any US Senate candidate have 50.1% or more in the polling average and lose?
Manifold MarketsWill any US Senate candidate lead the polling average by 8% or more and lose?
Manifold MarketsRepublicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by which date?
PolymarketDemocratic Senate Seat Count (2028)
KalshiRegeln
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2026-midterm-election-polls-model
- on election day 2026 after the polls are closed, I will check Nate Silvers election poll model to resolve this market.
- If the Democratic candidate in the race is leading, their answer will resolve yes.
- If they are losing, resolves no.
- If the Democratic candidate is tied, resolves no.
- Resolves according to the Democratic candidate.