Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 68.6%
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet4. Aug. 26, 04:42 UTC4. Aug. 36, 04:42 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Mitch McConnell outlive Ben Sasse?
Manifold MarketsWill Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms?
KalshiWill Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
KalshiMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
PolymarketMitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?
PolymarketWill Mitch McConnell speak this year?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Neal Dunn dies before Mitch McConnell.
- This market resolves to NO if Mitch McConnell dies before Neal Dunn.
- Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined by official announcements of death reported by major reputable news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times).
- Same-Day Deaths: If both individuals die on the same calendar day, the market will resolve based on the official time of death.
- If the precise sequence of deaths cannot be verified from official reports, the market will resolve to 50%.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Mitch McConnell outlive Neal Dunn??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 69% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Mitch McConnell outlive Neal Dunn? entschieden?
- Will Mitch McConnell outlive Neal Dunn? soll am 4. August 2036 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Mitch McConnell outlive Neal Dunn? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria