Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2026?
KapitalmaßnahmenOne-OffTechnikWirtschaft & Unternehmen10MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 97.4%
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 55 Minuten
Verzogert21. Mai 23, 10:28 UTC4. Sept. 27, 21:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketRegeln
Resolves No if Metaculus permanently shuts down or stops working.
- If it is still working, resolves Yes.
- If Metaculus does something unexpected e.g. merge with Manifold Markets: resolves Yes if questions made before the merger still work afterwards.
- No if those questions permanently stop working.
