Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 80.9%
Ja 80.9%Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet21. Mai 23, 10:30 UTC1. Jan. 36, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the Age of Mythology-based Flying Purple Hippos clan (https://flyingpurplehippos.org/) still exist by EOY 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill all in person comic con events go on throughout the 2020s?
Manifold MarketsIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves No if Metaculus permanently shuts down or stops working.
- If it is still working, resolves Yes.
- If Metaculus does something unexpected e.g. merge with Manifold Markets: resolves Yes if questions made before the merger still work afterwards.
- No if those questions permanently stop working.
