Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 88.9%
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet21. Mai 23, 10:30 UTC1. Feb. 31, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
KalshiWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves No if Metaculus permanently shuts down or stops working.
- If it is still working, resolves Yes.
- If Metaculus does something unexpected e.g. merge with Manifold Markets: resolves Yes if questions made before the merger still work afterwards.
- No if those questions permanently stop working.
Offene Märkte
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 48.756,4 €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 182.086,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-5.0pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.8pt77.7%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.0pt7.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.5pt5.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.2pt20.9%
- $2.5–$2.75T+7.5pt19.1%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.1%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Israel Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
- IPOs before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 89% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2030? entschieden?
- Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2030? soll am 1. Februar 2031 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves No if Metaculus permanently shuts down or stops working.