Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques?
One-OffChinaRegulierungTechnik3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 62.9%
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Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet6. Mai 24, 16:05 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
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This is an evaluation of this prediction from Jack Clark (https://twitter.com/jackclarkSF/status/1787493143186948454)
- "Registering bet that CCP prohibitions on generation of "unsafe" content will mean companies like Facebook use CN-developed censorship techniques to train models so they can be openly disseminated 'safely'.
- The horseshoe theory of AI politics where communist and libertarian ideologies end up in the same place."
- This is in reference to Sophon, and potential future advances like it: https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.12699.
- Resolves to YES if this statement proves accurate within the deadline with respect to Meta in particular, as applied to Meta's best open weights model at the time.
- Resolves to NO if this does not happen.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 63% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques? entschieden?
- Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This is an evaluation of this prediction from Jack Clark (https://twitter.com/jackclarkSF/status/1787493143186948454)