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Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election
Manifold MarketsWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsMarine Le Pen Will be the next president of France.
Manifold MarketsMarine Le Pen legally barred from running for French President in 2027?
Manifold MarketsMarine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by which date?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketRegeln
This question concerns the potential candidacy of Marine Le Pen, leader of the far-right party Rassemblement National (RN), in the upcoming 2027 presidential race in France.
- Marine Le Pen has announced her intention to run in 2027, aiming for the presidency for the fourth time.
- However, her ability to stand as a candidate is currently uncertain due to a recent legal conviction that includes a five-year ban on holding political office, linked to a case of misappropriation of European Parliament funds.
- She has appealed this ruling, with the appeal trial expected in early 2026.
- If the appeal fails, Marine Le Pen will be ineligible to run, and the RN’s current president, Jordan Bardella, has already positioned himself as a potential substitute candidate, with the party preparing for this contingency.
- Polls suggest Bardella might even perform as well or better than Le Pen in the election.
