Will María Corina Machado serve in a leadership role in a government in Venezuela by the end of 2027?
PolitikOne-OffLateinamerika1JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 76%
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Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet25. Okt. 25, 21:13 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves YES if Machado serves in some leadership role in the Venezuelan government by the end of 2027.
- I would count basically any role that indicates she is serving in a leadership position, even something like "Advisor to the President."
- The "purpose" of this market is to roughly predict whether the government that succeeds Maduro would be another Madurist government or an opposition-led government.
- I will not bet in this market to remain objective.
- Also, context: https://thebsdetector.substack.com/p/the-nobel-committee-is-hungry-for
