FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 86%
Nein 86%Marktqualitat
33 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1214,4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
6
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0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
PolymarketMaría Corina Machado arrested before 2027?
PolymarketMaría Corina Machado arrested in 2026?
FutuurWill María Corina Machado serve in a leadership role in a government in Venezuela by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen when María Corina Machado returns to Venezuela ? [add answers] (reupload)
Manifold MarketsWill Maria Corina Machado ever be President of Venezuela?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This event predicts whether María Corina Machado will be formally granted asylum by a country outside Venezuela at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, asylum means formal recognition of refugee or asylum status under international or domestic asylum law.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official statements or documentation from the granting country or relevant international authorities confirming asylum status.
- If María Corina Machado is formally granted asylum by a country outside Venezuela during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary refugee protections, humanitarian visas, or informal arrangements will not count.
