Will Maduro escape prosecution through a deal with the US government?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahlLateinamerikaKriminalität & Justiz2MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 82%
Prognostiker
22
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 27 Minuten
3. Jan. 26, 19:44 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Trump flees to Argentina to escape prosecution?
Manifold MarketsWill Navitas face formal prosecution over Sea Lion?
KalshiNicolás Maduro released from custody by which date?
PolymarketMaduro out of custody by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsMaduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump pardon Nicolás Maduro or commute his sentence in 2026?
PredictItRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- Maduro has been captured by US forces and is being sent to the US to face criminal charges.
- This market resolves YES if Maduro receives a pardon, clemency, immunity deal, or any other form of legal protection that prevents prosecution on the charges he currently faces.
- This includes any agreement that results in dropped charges, case dismissal, or immunity from prosecution in exchange for cooperation, exile, or other concessions.
- The market resolves NO if Maduro is prosecuted and convicted, or if he dies, escapes custody, or the charges are otherwise pursued without a deal granting him legal protection.
- Resolution will be determined by official statements from the U.S. Department of Justice, presidential proclamations, court filings, or credible reporting from major news outlets confirming the terms of any deal.