Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 31.10.2026, 15:37 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 76.8%
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20
Fragetyp
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert2. Jan. 24, 02:13 UTC2. Jan. 34, 04:59 UTC
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Resolves YES if at least one shipment of legal recreational cannabis arrives in a country from another.
- The whole transaction must be fully legal in both the exporting and importing country – in particular, they must both allow international trade, as opposed to just domestic trade; a transaction that resolves this YES must go through normal export and import channels and not constitute smuggling.
- Just some dude flying from Thailand to Canada with legally-purchased cannabis in his backpack doesn't count.
- The shipment needs to arrive at the destination country before 2034-01-01 00:00 local time for the question to resolve YES.
- The amount and value of the shipment don't matter, as long as the transaction is explicitly an import of recreational pot.
