Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 78.2%
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Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
14. Sept. 26, 20:16 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Gavin Newsom run for President in the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom run for President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom run for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Gavin Newsom win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWill Rubio and Vance both announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if both Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom formally run for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle on or before August 10, 2028.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- For the purposes of this market, "running for president" is defined as a candidate meeting at least one of the following criteria on or before August 10, 2028:
- Officially filing a Statement of Candidacy (FEC Form 2) for the office of President with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) for the 2028 election cycle (viewable on the official FEC website).
- Registering an official presidential exploratory committee with the FEC for the 2028 election.
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt60.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt38.6%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 133,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 947.319,9 €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate29.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.4pt9.8%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 194,6 Mio. €
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 523.833,6 €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.2pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.4pt9.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 30,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 493.492,9 €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom both run for president in 2028??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 78.2% (Stand: 22. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom both run for president in 2028? entschieden?
- Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom both run for president in 2028? soll am 31. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom both run for president in 2028? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria