Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 55.5%
Prognostiker
19
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet30. Apr. 26, 19:48 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be another covid-like pandemic during second Trump administration?
Manifold Markets8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsAny of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill the Coalition next split before the next election?
Manifold MarketsBrazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026?
FutuurWill the Supreme Court bar Boulder’s state-law climate claims against Suncor and Exxon?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "YES" if Kamala Harris officially announces her candidacy for the 2028 U.S. Presidential election.
- An official announcement includes a statement released by her campaign, a formal filing with the Federal Election Commission (FEC), or a direct, unambiguous public declaration of her intent to run.
- The market resolves to "NO" if she explicitly states she will not run, or if the 2028 inauguration occurs without her having announced a campaign.
- Resolution will be based on reports from major, reputable news outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters, The New York Times, CNN).
- If she forms an exploratory committee or makes a similar formal step toward candidacy, this will be considered an announcement of a run.
