Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 97.2%
Prognostiker
14
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binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 20 Minuten
10. Jan. 26, 13:07 UTC3. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will Josh Shapiro say during Face the Nation?
KalshiWill Josh Shapiro win the Pennsylvania general election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastExWill Josh Shapiro get 60.00% or more of the vote in 2026 Pennsylvania Governor election?
Manifold MarketsWill Josh Shapiro get 60.00% or more of the vote in 2026 Pennsylvania Governor election?
Manifold MarketsAllegheny County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent
KalshiMontgomery County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- The 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election will take place on November 3, 2026.
- The market resolves YES if Josh Shapiro wins the general election and NO if he loses.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the Pennsylvania Department of State (https://www.pa.gov/en/government/how-government-works/elections.html).
- Shapiro announced in January 2026 that he would run for reelection to a second term.
- Shapiro was first elected with 56.5% of the vote in 2022, defeating Republican Doug Mastriano by 15 points.
