KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: 2028 / Campaign (99%)
Entschieden: 01.11.2026, 17:49
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
2028 / Campaign
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
41%
ÜberraschungWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 01.11.2026, 17:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
2028 / Campaign99%
Affordable / Affordability1%
Vaccine / Vaccination99%
Measles99%
Corrupt / Corruption85%
Tariff1%
Iran / Iranian1%
Republican0%
AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
Election0%
Healthcare99%
Trump95%
Democrat69%
Vance1%
Data Center1%
Event does not qualify10%
2028 / CampaignGewonnen
Vaccine / VaccinationVerloren
MeaslesVerloren
Corrupt / CorruptionVerloren
RepublicanVerloren
ElectionVerloren
HealthcareVerloren
TrumpVerloren
DemocratVerloren
Affordable / AffordabilityVerloren
TariffVerloren
Iran / IranianVerloren
AI / Artificial IntelligenceVerloren
VanceVerloren
Data CenterVerloren
Event does not qualifyVerloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Josh Shapiro win the Pennsylvania general election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastExJosh Shapiro margin of victory
KalshiPennsylvania Governor election: Josh Shapiro vote percent
KalshiWhen will Josh Shapiro announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Josh Shapiro win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRegeln
If Josh Shapiro says 2028 / Campaign as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersThe New York Timesthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Josh Shapiro speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- 2028 / Campaign
- If Josh Shapiro says 2028 / Campaign as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Vaccine / Vaccination
- If Josh Shapiro says Vaccine / Vaccination as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Measles
- If Josh Shapiro says Measles as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Corrupt / Corruption
- If Josh Shapiro says Corrupt / Corruption as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican
- If Josh Shapiro says Republican as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Election
- If Josh Shapiro says Election as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Healthcare
- If Josh Shapiro says Healthcare as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump
- If Josh Shapiro says Trump as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrat
- If Josh Shapiro says Democrat as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Affordable / Affordability
- If Josh Shapiro says Affordable / Affordability as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tariff
- If Josh Shapiro says Tariff as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran / Iranian
- If Josh Shapiro says Iran / Iranian as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- AI / Artificial Intelligence
- If Josh Shapiro says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Vance
- If Josh Shapiro says Vance as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data Center
- If Josh Shapiro says Data Center as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.