Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 81.6%
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert19. Juli 26, 19:43 UTC1. Juli 27, 12:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Jonas Vingegaard start another race for Team Visma | Lease a Bike before 2028?*
Manifold MarketsWhat is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the first year Tadej Pogacar does NOT start the Tour de France?
Manifold MarketsWill any rider in the 2027 Tour de France use an airbag safety system during the race?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiVidantaWorld Mexico Open Winner
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Jonas Vingegaard starts Stage 1 of the 2027 Tour de France.
- "Starting" is defined as crossing the start line of Stage 1 or being officially recorded on the stage results with a completed time, DNF (Did Not Finish), or other active classification.
- If he is officially listed as a DNS (Did Not Start) for Stage 1, or is omitted entirely from the final starting list, this market will resolve to NO.
- If the 2027 Tour de France is cancelled, postponed beyond the calendar year of 2027, or if Vingegaard announces his retirement from professional cycling before the event begins, this market will resolve to NO.
