Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 79.5%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet19. Juli 26, 19:43 UTC1. Juli 27, 12:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France?
Manifold MarketsWill Jonas Vingegaard start another race for Team Visma | Lease a Bike before 2028?*
Manifold MarketsTour de France 2027 Winner
Manifold MarketsUS Open Men's Singles Winner
Kalshi2027 Pro Football Champion
KalshiHeisman Trophy Winner
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Jonas Vingegaard starts Stage 1 of the 2027 Tour de France.
- "Starting" is defined as crossing the start line of Stage 1 or being officially recorded on the stage results with a completed time, DNF (Did Not Finish), or other active classification.
- If he is officially listed as a DNS (Did Not Start) for Stage 1, or is omitted entirely from the final starting list, this market will resolve to NO.
- If the 2027 Tour de France is cancelled, postponed beyond the calendar year of 2027, or if Vingegaard announces his retirement from professional cycling before the event begins, this market will resolve to NO.
Offene Märkte
Sports
POLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5,9 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,5 Mio. €
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,6 Mio. €
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Jonas Vingegaard start the 2027 Tour de France??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 80% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Jonas Vingegaard start the 2027 Tour de France? entschieden?
- Will Jonas Vingegaard start the 2027 Tour de France? soll am 1. Juli 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Jonas Vingegaard start the 2027 Tour de France? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria