Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 89.7%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet20. Juli 26, 04:43 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Jonas Vingegaard start the 2027 Tour de France?
Manifold MarketsWhat is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiVidantaWorld Mexico Open Winner
KalshiPro Baseball Champion
KalshiPro Baseball Championship Series MVP Winner
KalshiRegeln
Resolves Yes if Jonas Vingegaard starts a race for Team Visma | Lease a Bike before 2028-01-01.
- The race must be a UCI road race, for example a "post-Tour crit" would not count, even if it is a UCI event.
- He has to be riding for that team, not for a national team or etc. He has to take the start, DNS doesn't count.
- Resolves No promptly when any of the following happen:
- Announces retirement before riding any races and also reaches the retirement date without starting a race, or announces that he would not start any race
- Rides a race for another team before riding for Team Visma | Lease a Bike
