Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 73.9%
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet13. Aug. 26, 03:24 UTC31. Okt. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by which date?
PolymarketWill Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
KalshiWill Joe Biden die of prostate cancer by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsCredible evidence Joe Biden has dementia emerges by 2028
Manifold MarketsHow many United States ex-Presidents will attend Joe Biden’s funeral
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Joe Biden has a strictly shorter post-presidency than George Washington.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to NO.
- George Washington's post-presidency: March 4, 1797, to December 14, 1799 (exactly 1,015 days).
- Joe Biden's post-presidency: Began at noon on January 20, 2025.
- To have a strictly shorter post-presidency than George Washington, Joe Biden must pass away on or before October 31, 2027 (representing 1,014 days or fewer).