Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 80.1%
Prognostiker
36
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet18. Mai 25, 21:34 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
Manifold MarketsJoe Biden dies from prostate cancer?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Joe Biden die?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden die before Donald Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
KalshiWhat will happen during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Will he die, specifically because of prostate cancer, by the end of 2027? If he dies of a combination of factors including prostate cancer, resolves YES.
- Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If prostate cancer is a major contributing factor to death, the market resolves YES.
- This includes cases where prostate cancer or its treatment causes increased susceptibility to another condition that is the immediate cause of death.
