Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 70.6%
Prognostiker
2
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet19. Juni 25, 01:34 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsE. Jean Carroll federally charged by which date?
PolymarketWill a Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Luigi Mangione plead extreme emotional disturbance or not guilty by reason of mental illness?
Manifold MarketsWho will be arrested in 2026?
KalshiHasan Piker arrested in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jean-Fran%C3%A7ois_Gari%C3%A9py
- Gariépy's partner Élora Patoine (also known as "Mama JF") disappeared in June 2023, having last been seen in Moncton on June 19, two days after being left at a gas station.
- He subsequently announced a deep cleaning of his house.
- He believed that she left voluntarily (as an act of off-the-grid living) in explaining why he never reported her absence to police, but in September/October 2023, she was reported missing.[25][26][27] As of October 2024, the Royal Canadian Mounted Police was still seeking tips from the public to help find Patoine.[28]
Offene Märkte
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 8634,7 €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-5.5pt16%
- 2026+0.2pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 503.290,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7632,6 €
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+5.5pt70.3%
- Yes-5.5pt29.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 353.164,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6044,6 €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 3128%
- October 31+1.0pt14%
- September 30-1.0pt6%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+0.5pt42.2%
- 60++2.5pt39.2%
- 20–40+2.8pt10.8%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWho will be arrested in 2026?
- John Brennan-2.0pt22%
- Mahmoud Khalil17%
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero+2.0pt15%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Who will be arrested before 2027?
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
- Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by which date?
- Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Jean-François Gariépy be arrested for any reason by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 71% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Jean-François Gariépy be arrested for any reason by the end of 2026? entschieden?
- Will Jean-François Gariépy be arrested for any reason by the end of 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Jean-François Gariépy be arrested for any reason by the end of 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jean-Fran%C3%A7ois_Gari%C3%A9py