Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 88.6%
Prognostiker
46
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet6. Nov. 24, 17:43 UTC1. Juli 27, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketWill JD Vance ever be president?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be president of the United States before the end of 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be President of the USA during the 2028 Olympics
Manifold MarketsWhen will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWhat will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
KalshiRegeln
For at least 2 weeks consecutively
- Update 2026-06-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Acting as president via the 25th Amendment counts toward the two-week requirement.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 847.662,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 668.756,2 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will JD Vance be president for two weeks by mid 2027?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 89% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will JD Vance be president for two weeks by mid 2027 entschieden?
- Will JD Vance be president for two weeks by mid 2027 soll am 1. Juli 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will JD Vance be president for two weeks by mid 2027 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: For at least 2 weeks consecutively