Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 20:15 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 95%
Prognostiker
56
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet16. Jan. 26, 03:41 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
[ACX 2026] Will Donald Trump cease to exercise presidential powers for 48 hours during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump cease to exercise presidential powers for 48 hours during 2026?
FutuurWill JD Vance assume the presidency of the United States before the 2029 Inauguration?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached over Epstein files and will JD Vance assume the role?
Manifold MarketsWhat will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?
KalshiWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES iff JD Vance, the 50th vice president of the United States, assumes presidential powers at any point for any duration, even temporarily, in 2026.
- This includes:
- The Vice President becoming President in case of the removal of the President from office or of his death or resignation
- The Vice President assuming powers as Acting President when the President transmits a written declaration of inability to discharge the powers and duties of his office
- The Vice President immediately assuming the powers and duties of the office as Acting President when the Vice President and a majority of principal officers of the executive departments transmit a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office