Will Donald Trump cease to exercise presidential powers for 48 hours during 2026?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahl2Mon
FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 90%
Nein 90%Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
724 €
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This market predicts whether Donald Trump will cease to exercise the powers of the U.S. presidency for a continuous period of at least 48 hours during calendar year 2026.
- If, at any point in this period, Donald Trump does not exercise the powers of the U.S. presidency for a continuous period of 48 hours or more — whether due to a 25th Amendment transfer, death, resignation, removal from office, or any documented incapacity preventing the exercise of presidential authority — this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- The Primary Designated Source is official White House communications (whitehouse.gov), the Federal Register, and statements from the Office of the Vice President or the Acting President during the relevant period.
- A consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm a continuous 48-hour-plus period of actual non-exercise of powers.
- In ambiguous edge cases, resolution will follow the spirit of the question.