Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseIn January 2029 74.8%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet21. Feb. 25, 14:17 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?
Manifold MarketsWho will run for President of the United States in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWho will be voted President of the United States by the Electoral College in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the party of the next President of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurRegeln
Donald Trump is currently in his second term as President of the United Staets.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on when Donald Trump ceases to be President of the United States:
- "the named outcome" resolves YES if Trump's presidency ends before January 1, 2029 (e.g., is removed from office, or does not complete his second term)
- "the named outcome" resolves YES if Trump completes a full second term ending somtime the named outcome (specifically January 20, 2029, when the next president is expected to be sworn in, though the question is open to anytime during the month of January 2029 in order to account for some possibility that the date of the inaguration changes)
- "the named outcome" resolves YES if Trump remains president beyond January 31, 2029
