Will Javier Milei survive to the end of his first term as president?
PolitikOne-OffWahlLatin America1JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 92%
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Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet20. Nov. 23, 17:42 UTC10. Dez. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsJavier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina?
FutuurMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
PolymarketWill Karina Milei leave the office of Argentina’s Secretary General of the Presidency in 2026?
FutuurRegeln
As it says, I mean literally survive - if he's removed from office but remains alive until the date this resolves YES.
- If he dies before his term begins, this resolves NO.
- His term ends 10 December 2027 according to wikipedia.
- This market closes the day before that, with my intent being to resolve the day after.
- I can't think of any other semi-ambiguous resolution possibilities, but if one comes up I'll outline what I think.
- I do not plan to bet on this market.
