Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 73.2%
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Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet8. Apr. 25, 08:24 UTC20. Jan. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Trump completes full second term through January 20, 2029
Manifold MarketsWhen will Xi leave the USA?
PolymarketWill Parsol Shield sunscreen be sold in the USA through Amazon to consumers by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in October?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. Senate?
KalshiRegeln
I am a H1b, pending my EB2-NIW green card priority date, tech worker, Czech citizen, of no particular notoriety.
- Resolves NO if anytime before Jan 20, 2029 it becomes illegal or unsafe for someone like me living in San Francisco to physically leave USA within a couple hours if they were to decide to do so.
- Resolves YES if through January 20 2029 someone described above would remain able to leave USA expediently.
- Example conditions:
- Exit visa requirement enacted and I / someone similar to me would not automatically pass
- Planes grounded around where I am
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt65.7%
- No change-1.0pt32.4%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.5pt91%
- Republican Party+0.6pt9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 32,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 982.374,7 €
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-6.0pt67%
- Susan Collins+5.0pt33%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 5,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 758.813,5 €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping?
- Ballroom99%
- Melania99%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
+28 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 627.586,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 598.841,7 €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Democratic Party-4.0pt60.4%
- Republican Party+4.0pt39.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 584.763,3 €
KALSHIAlaska Senate winner?
- Democratic party-4.0pt71.7%
- Republican party+2.0pt28.3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 445.451,4 €
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Maine Senate Election Winner
- Nebraska Senate winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will I remain able to leave USA through January 20, 2029??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 73.2% (Stand: 25. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will I remain able to leave USA through January 20, 2029? entschieden?
- Will I remain able to leave USA through January 20, 2029? soll am 20. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will I remain able to leave USA through January 20, 2029? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: I am a H1b, pending my EB2-NIW green card priority date, tech worker, Czech citizen, of no particular notoriety.