Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 75.1%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet16. Dez. 24, 02:36 UTC31. Dez. 26, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will mail-order mifepristone access be restricted nationwide?
KalshiWill estradiol be available over-the-counter in the US before 2030?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic lab leak by which date?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketMeasles cases in 2026?
KalshiWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
I currently reside in Texas and rely on exogenous estradiol for hormonal therapy.
- This market will resolve YES if, at any point before 2027, it becomes impractical for me to obtain estradiol for at least one month.
- It will resolve N/A if I move to a different state before 2027 or if Texas ceases to exist.
Offene Märkte
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETAnthropic lab leak by which date?
- June 30, 2027-6.0pt11%
- December 31, 2026-4.0pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 19.671,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 16.195,5 €
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.2pt97%
- Yes-0.2pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4906,1 €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400098%
- Above 6000+5.0pt69%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 903.973,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4206,5 €
POLYMARKETHow many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
- 35 to 49-6.0pt45.8%
- 50 or more+26.9pt36.5%
- 20 to 34-26.5pt16.7%
KALSHIHow many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Above 8k+9.0pt97%
- Above 7k89%
- Above 9k81%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 13.946,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
- ↑2k+0.2pt100%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Pandemic in 2026?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 75% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027? entschieden?
- Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: I currently reside in Texas and rely on exogenous estradiol for hormonal therapy.