Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 79.5%
Prognostiker
62
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
2. Okt. 25, 07:28 UTC31. Dez. 29, 08:20 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will I get a girlfriend before I finish Vakil?
Manifold MarketsWill karl floersch have girlfriend by eoy2029
Manifold MarketsWill I get a girlfriend before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill I have a girlfriend before I turn 35, and if so how will we meet?
Manifold MarketsWill I find a wife by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
YES iff I get a girlfriend before I finish reading all of Allen Hatcher’s Algebraic Topology and solve all exercises.
- Resolves when I start dating a girl or complete the Hatcher 100% speedrun.
- Whether or not they count as a girlfriend is up to my discretion.
- I will not attempt to manipulate this market via self-sabotage.
- Note: the "solve all exercises" clause is there to make finishing Hatcher much harder than it would normally be.
- Progress spreadsheet:
