Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 67%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 58 Minuten
Verzogert16. Apr. 26, 04:56 UTC16. Apr. 29, 04:43 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will I get a girlfriend before I finish Hatcher?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?
PolymarketJensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31?
PolymarketTSA avg check-ins from Nov 9 to 15, 2026?
KalshiTSA passenger screenings on Nov 13, 2026
KalshiWas the grounding of all flights by the FAA due to a cyberattack
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES iff I enter into a committed romantic relationship that I define as having a girlfriend before I complete The Rising Sea by Ravi Vakil.
- It resolves NO if I complete the entire text and solve all exercises before entering such a relationship. "Finish" is defined as reading the entire text and solving every exercise to my own satisfaction.
- I will not manipulate the outcome by intentionally slowing my mathematical progress or self-sabotaging.
- The Rising Sea: Foundations of Algebraic Geometry is an comprehensive and notoriously demanding textbook on algebraic geometry written by Ravi Vakil.