Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 82.1%
Prognostiker
20
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert17. Dez. 22, 16:49 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund Community salt substitution by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund probiotic supplementation for preterm newborns by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill a light grow Cannabis by itself before end of 2034
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This question resolves positively if GiveWell gives a grant or publishes a recommendation that grants be given to fund Sayana® Press on or before December 31, 2026.
- Or if an organisations supplying Sayana® press is designated a "Top Charity" or a recipient of "All Funds" before the deadline.
- This resolves according to a statement from GiveWell or a credible news organisation.
- It resolves "No" otherwise.
- The most likely resolution mechanism is that GiveWell writes "yes" in the column "Have we recommended one or more grants to support this program?" in the “Sayana® Press” row of the GiveWell program reviews spreadsheet (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TG7WRU85p1SEjir-5qvIEg4kVG9a4Lnzdgwcub8aKSs/edit#gid=0) or a spreadsheet that supersedes it.
- Can you find issues with this question.
