Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 86.5%
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet17. Dez. 22, 16:49 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk have a Neuralink chip implanted in his own brain by the end of 2029?
FutuurMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
This question resolves positively if GiveWell gives a grant or publishes a recommendation that grants be given to fund Sayana® Press on or before December 31, 2026.
- Or if an organisations supplying Sayana® press is designated a "Top Charity" or a recipient of "All Funds" before the deadline.
- This resolves according to a statement from GiveWell or a credible news organisation.
- It resolves "No" otherwise.
- The most likely resolution mechanism is that GiveWell writes "yes" in the column "Have we recommended one or more grants to support this program?" in the “Sayana® Press” row of the GiveWell program reviews spreadsheet (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TG7WRU85p1SEjir-5qvIEg4kVG9a4Lnzdgwcub8aKSs/edit#gid=0) or a spreadsheet that supersedes it.
- Can you find issues with this question.
Offene Märkte
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,750 or above99%
- $73,000 or above99%
- $73,500 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $67,000 or above98%
- $64,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $67,500 or above98%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 906.661,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIETH price on Sep 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,300 or above97%
- $2,340 or above96%
- $2,380 or above93%
+37 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 285.422,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 231.211,5 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 15, 2026?
- Seattle+85.0pt99%
- Chicago+21.0pt99%
- Miami-14.0pt52%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 249.108,7 €
LIMITLESSMeta (META) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes70%
- No30%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 222.902,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 208.688,2 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+3.0pt26.7%
- 220-239-1.0pt16.2%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 15, 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Daily
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Elon Musk # tweets September 14 - September 16, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 15, 2026?
- Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 87% (Stand: 15. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027? entschieden?
- Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This question resolves positively if GiveWell gives a grant or publishes a recommendation that grants be given to fund Sayana® Press on or before December 31, 2026.