Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 85.1%
Prognostiker
19
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet12. Apr. 26, 20:55 UTC7. Nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Eric Swalwell be elected the next Governor of California?
Manifold MarketsWill Eric Swalwell win the California general election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastExEric Adams charged by December 31?
PolymarketTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketJair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
PolymarketWill Jair Bolsonaro leave prison by the end of January 2027?
FutuurRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is physically incarcerated in a jail, prison, or other correctional facility on Election Day (November 7) 2028.
- The market resolves to "No" if he is not incarcerated on that date.
- Resolution will be based on reliable reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times, Wall Street Journal) confirming his custodial status on that day.
- If his status is unclear or if he is under house arrest, electronic monitoring, or probation without being held in a correctional facility, the market will resolve to "No.”
