Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 85.1%
Prognostiker
19
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet12. Apr. 26, 20:55 UTC7. Nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Eric Swalwell win the California general election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastExEric Swalwell charged by September 30?
PolymarketWill Eric Swalwell be elected the next Governor of California?
Manifold MarketsEric Swalwell arrested by September 30?
PolymarketEric Adams charged by December 31?
PolymarketWill anyone face federal charges tied to Fulton County’s 2020 election?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is physically incarcerated in a jail, prison, or other correctional facility on Election Day (November 7) 2028.
- The market resolves to "No" if he is not incarcerated on that date.
- Resolution will be based on reliable reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times, Wall Street Journal) confirming his custodial status on that day.
- If his status is unclear or if he is under house arrest, electronic monitoring, or probation without being held in a correctional facility, the market will resolve to "No.”
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Eric Swalwell be behind bars on Election Day 2028??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 85% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Eric Swalwell be behind bars on Election Day 2028? entschieden?
- Will Eric Swalwell be behind bars on Election Day 2028? soll am 7. November 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Eric Swalwell be behind bars on Election Day 2028? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria